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------=_NextPart_000_0000_01C8340D.3FC95F00 Content-Type: multipart/alternative; boundary="----=_NextPart_001_0009_01C8340D.3FD741B0" ------=_NextPart_001_0009_01C8340D.3FD741B0 Content-Type: text/html; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable Content-Location: http://www.cfo.com/printable/article.cfm/10162566/c_2984368?f+options Is a Restatement a CFO=92s Kiss of Death? - = CFO.com
=20

Is a Restatement a CFO=92s Kiss of Death?

Study by U. of Alabama professors finds a far = higher=20 turnover rate among restating finance chiefs than among those who = don=92t restate.=20 But how much higher?
Roy=20 Harris, CFO.com | US
November 19, 2007

Companies that restate earnings change CFOs much more frequently than = non-restating companies do, according to a study by two University of = Alabama=20 professors. But exactly how much more frequently turns out to be a = matter of=20 some confusion.

The report, titled "Corporate Governance Consequences of Accounting = Scandals:=20 Evidence from Top Management, CFO, and Auditor Turnover," found that = nearly a 10=20 percentage point gap exists between the adjusted turnover rate for = finance=20 chiefs at companies reporting lower earnings in a restatement (50.4 = percent),=20 compared to CFOs at non-restating companies (40.46 percent). Among CEOs, = the=20 difference using the same "regression model" was 14 percent (46.17 = percent=20 versus 31.73 percent).

Perhaps more surprising is the calculation that audit firms are no = more=20 likely to be replaced by a company that restates than by a non-restating = company, according to the report, which was drafted in March and last = revised=20 this month by professors Anup Agrawal and Tommy Cooper, of the = university=92s=20 Culverhouse College of Business.

Some readers of the report, however, have paid more attention to the = raw=20 statistics, before the adjustment, showing that 65 percent of finance = chiefs=20 depart companies after restatements, and that 53 percent of CEOs depart = under=20 the same circumstances. "If you are a manager, chief financial officer = or=20 auditor working for a company that comes out with a restatement, start = looking=20 for another job. That=92s the only conclusion you can draw" from the new = study,=20 observed Leon Gettler, a business journalist for Australia=92s The = Age=20 newspaper, writing for the www.soxfirst.com corporate-finance Website. =

(When contacted by CFO.com, Gettler conceded in an email that, after = the=20 departure levels at the control group were registered, the 10-point and = 14-point=20 actual departure-rate differentials for CFOs and CEOs are less = impressive than=20 the numbers on which he had based his comment. "But the bottom line is = that=20 their position is less secure post restatement," he responded. "And if = the=20 market reaction to the restatement is severe, it would be even less = secure=20 because the board wants to be seen as doing something. Sacking the CEO = or CFO is=20 one way of achieving that.")

Among non-restating companies in the study's control group =97 again = following=20 the raw numbers =97 43 percent of CFOs and 34 percent of CEOs were = replaced during=20 the period studied, while overall turnover involving members of top = management=20 measured 59 percent. The University of Alabama professors explain in the = report,=20 however, that to give a fair comparison of turnover, they needed to = apply=20 "logistic regressions that control for other determinants of management=20 turnover." That calculation includes the normal turnover rate for = non-restating=20 firms.

"Our study focuses on two important outcomes of the functioning of = internal=20 governance mechanism, namely management and auditor turnover, during a = time of=20 intense corporate turmoil," they write in the study. They note the = disruption in=20 corporate accounting that followed the scandals involving Enron, = WorldCom, Tyco=20 International, HealthSouth and other companies, and the resulting = reforms of the=20 Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.

An email from Prof. Cooper, responding to CFO.com's request for = information=20 about the study, offered yet another set of numbers to explain how much = more=20 often CFOs and CEOs leave a company within a year of a restatement. = Applying the=20 differential of 10 percentage points for CFOs and 14 percentage points = for CEOs=20 in the adjusted numbers, the professor said, a restatement on average = "increases=20 the probability of CFO turnover by...24.6 percent...over the usual = probability=20 of turnover for CFOs of non-restating firms." For CEOs, the probability = of=20 turnover increases a whopping 45.5 percent.


"The effects are even larger for sub-samples (of companies) where the = misstatements were more egregioius," Prof. Cooper added in his = email.

Diluting the results for today's finance executives under any = scenario,=20 however, could be the time period of restatements covered in the study: = 1997 and=20 2002, before the great wave of post-Sarbanes-Oxley restating began to = sweep the=20 nation.

There were 919 restatements by U.S. public companies during the = five-year=20 period studied, according to the General Accountability Office. The = research=20 included 518 of them. After the steady rise in restatements that started = in=20 2002, however, companies made a record 1,420 restatements in 2006 alone, = according to a report earlier this year by investor research firm Glass, = Lewis=20 & Co., which predicted that the number might be at least as high = this=20 year.

The 2006 total was more than 12 times higher than in 1997, and last = year=20 represented one of every 10 public companies. In 2002, the first year of = Sarbox,=20 there were 330 restatements. Plus, in an April = review by=20 CFO, various experts noted that in the post-Sarbox years = restatements=20 =97 often involving inadvertent errors rather than fraud =97 have been = more accepted=20 as a result of the complexity of the system.

The Alabama study by Profs. Cooper and Agrawal does discuss a number = of=20 factors to be considered when examining CFO and CEO turnover, as well as = the=20 replacement of auditors post-restatement.

Some companies change CFOs or CEOs to regain "reputational capital" = that may=20 have been lost, to limit liability from possible classs-action lawsuits, = or to=20 help reverse market-value losses.

"On the other hand, there are also reasons why an earnings = restatement may=20 not lead to greater management turnover," the report says. They include = the high=20 cost in human capital that may result from replacing executives, and=20 difficulties with internal controls if key individuals are dismissed, = "unless=20 the [accounting] problems are directly linked to those individuals." = Further, if=20 the reputational damage is judged to be minor, "the net benefits from = replacing=20 managers can be small."

The benefits associated with replacing the auditor also reflect = whether a=20 company needs to "regain its lost reputational capital or limit its = liability=20 exposure." Those costs can be large, however, and may include dealing = with=20 "steep learning curves" in replacing an auditor, and complications = associated=20 with the narrow choice among audit-firm candidates, especially when the = field=20 contains certain industry specialties.

But perhaps the most significant lesson of the study is that a = careful=20 reading of academic reports is always warranted.




=A9 CFO Publishing Corporation 2007. All rights=20 reserved. ------=_NextPart_001_0009_01C8340D.3FD741B0 Content-Type: application/octet-stream Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable Content-Location: http://ad.doubleclick.net/adi/cfo2.dart/print;pos=top;cat=print;kw=;sz=336x280;tile=1;ord=440036369473575800? 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